우한폐렴. 3월 14일 : "미국 CDC가 감염학자들과 만든 비공개 시나리오"










미국 CDC가 감염학자들과 만든 비공개 시나리오.


[관련 자료]



최악의 경우에,

1억6천만명에서 2억14백만명이 감염, 20만명에서 170만명이 사망


240만명에서 2천100만명이 입원 필요, 병실은 92만5천개에 불과. 의료 체계 붕괴

"Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.

And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the United States could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill."


2020년 3월 14일


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